Trends in Foreign Policy
The institute's semi-annual horizon scan of the political, security, and commercial shifts most likely to affect Somaliland's interests. This edition examines naval deployment patterns in the Gulf of Aden, competing corridor projects, shifting Gulf-state priorities, and the domestic political calendars across the Horn that will shape the coming period.
Related Publications
Infrastructure alone does not create trade hubs — regulatory predictability does. This study benchmarks the Berbera corridor against comparator routes in the Red Sea and western Indian Ocean across customs processing, transit documentation, insurance availability, and border dwell times, and identifies where the corridor's competitiveness is won or lost.
Recognition is rarely granted as a single verdict; it accumulates through functional agreements, commercial stakes, and first movers acting on concrete interests. This paper sets out a five-stage ladder — presence, function, economics, politics, precedent — and applies it to twelve priority capitals, with indicative sequencing, resource requirements, and measures of progress at each stage.
A stakeholder survey of Somalilander diaspora communities across six host countries, examining willingness to advocate, current levels of organization, access to reliable information about the national case, and the practical barriers that stop goodwill from becoming coordinated action.
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